[Breakdown] Inside Tinubu’s ₦58 trillion Budget for 2026 Laid Before NASS

PAK Staff Writer
7 Min Read

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has officially presented the 2026 Nigerian national budget to a joint session of the National Assembly. 

Titled the “Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience, and Shared Prosperity,” Tinubu said the ₦58.47 trillion budget proposal represents a strategic roadmap aimed at stabilizing Nigeria’s economy and driving community-level growth.

Tinubu, who began his speech at 3.31pm said, “I appear before this Joint Session of the National Assembly, in fulfilment of my constitutional duty, to present the 2026 Appropriation Bill.” 

Tinubu described the moment as “defining” in Nigeria’s reform journey. He acknowledged the pains of reforms over the last two and a half years but assured citizens that “their sacrifices are not in vain.”

It was also gathered that Tinubu’s ₦58 trillion budget for 2026 is anchored on a revised macroeconomic framework. 

The Federal Executive Council (FEC) adjusted the exchange rate assumption downward from ₦1,512/$ to ₦1,400/$, signaling an optimistic but cautious outlook for the Naira. 

With a projected revenue of ₦34.33 trillion, Tinubu said his administration is shifting its focus toward non-oil revenue sources, such as VAT, corporate taxes, and customs, which are now expected to account for nearly two-thirds of total receipts.  

Speaking on the economy of Nigeria, Tinubu said his administration’s reforms have begun to show signs of stabilisation, citing 3.98 per cent GDP growth in Q3 2025, moderation in inflation for eight consecutive months to 14.45 per cent in November 2025, improved oil production, stronger non-oil revenues, and rising investor confidence.

“These outcomes are not accidental. They reflect difficult but deliberate policy choices,” Tinubu said, adding that the task ahead was to ensure that “stability becomes prosperity, and prosperity becomes shared prosperity.”

Breakdown of the 2026 fiscal framework

Under Tinubu’s ₦58 trillion budget for 2026, total revenue is projected at ₦34.33 trillion, while total expenditure stands at ₦58.18 trillion, including ₦15.52 trillion for debt servicing. 

Recurrent (non-debt) spending is put at ₦15.25 trillion, while capital expenditure totals ₦26.08 trillion. The budget deficit of ₦23.85 trillion represents 4.28 per cent of GDP.

The assumptions underpinning the budget include a crude oil benchmark of $64.85 per barrel, production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of ₦1,400/$.

“These numbers are not just accounting lines. They are a statement of national priorities,” Tinubu said, stressing commitments to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value-for-money spending.

​Another major highlight of Tinubu’s N58 trillion budget for 2026 is the “Renewed Hope Ward Development Plan.” 

According to the President, this initiative aims to deliver customized development programs across all 8,809 political wards in Nigeria. By focusing on bottom-up economic growth, Tinubu said his government intends to boost domestic production and improve the standard of living for citizens at the grassroots level. 

Defense and Security gets ₦5.41trn

The defense and security sector tops sectoral allocations on Tinubu’s ₦58 trillion budget for 2026 with ₦5.41 trillion.

This comes as Tinubu’s administration is facing international scrutiny over insecurity and religious persecution in Nigeria. 

Recall that Nigeria was recently redesignated as a Country of Particular Concern over alleged Christian genocide.

Followed by the security sector is the infrastructure sector with (₦3.56 trillion), education (₦3.52 trillion), and health (₦2.48 trillion).

Unveiling a sweeping security doctrine, Tinubu said Nigeria was resetting its national security architecture with a unified counter-terrorism approach. “Henceforth, any armed group or gun-wielding non-state actors operating outside state authority will be regarded as terrorists,” he declared.

He listed bandits, militias, armed gangs, kidnappers, violent cult groups, forest-based armed collectives, and foreign-linked mercenaries, warning that financiers, ransom facilitators, arms suppliers, political protectors, and even community or religious leaders who aid violence would also be designated terrorists.

Discipline, revenue reforms

On budget execution, Tinubu admitted that 2025 implementation faced transition challenges, noting that as of Q3 2025, ₦18.6 trillion in revenue (61% of target) and ₦24.66 trillion in expenditure (60% of target) had been recorded. Only ₦3.10 trillion, about 17.7 per cent of the 2025 capital budget, had been released by Q3.

He pledged stricter discipline in 2026, directing the finance and budget authorities to implement the budget “strictly in line with appropriated details and timelines.” Heads of Government-Owned Enterprises (GOEs) were ordered to meet revenue targets, backed by end-to-end digitisation to seal leakages.

“Nigeria can no longer afford inefficiencies or underperformance in strategic agencies. Every institution must play its part,” he warned.

Education, health, and agriculture

Tinubu said investments in human capital would be deepened, revealing that over 418,000 students have benefited from the Nigerian Education Loan Fund in partnership with 229 tertiary institutions. Health spending, he added, represents six per cent of the total budget, excluding liabilities, with over $500 million in prospective U.S. grant funding for targeted health interventions.

On food security, he said agriculture would be prioritised through mechanisation, irrigation, climate-resilient farming, storage, age, and agro-value chains to curb post-harvest losses and boost smallholder incomes.

A budget to deliver

“The greatest budget is not the one we announce. It is the one we deliver,” Tinubu said, outlining commitments to better revenue mobilisation, smarter spending, and stronger accountability.

Laying the bill before lawmakers, he said the 20 budget benefited “belongs to all of us”, expressing confidence that cooperation between the executive and legislature would deliver the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“It is with great pleasure that I lay before this distinguished Joint Session of the National Assembly the 2026 Appropriation Bill of the Federal Republic of Nigeria,” Tinubu concluded. “May God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.”

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